asdfdd123

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $4.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.6
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.74
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $5.55
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.45
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.8
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.96
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $9.55
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.45
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $2.4
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.6
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on July 12?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.75
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.55
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$3.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.15
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.95
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.85
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.96
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C or higher on July 13?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.65
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.6
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.75
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.7
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.88
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.98
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.96
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.58
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$0.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $20.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $15.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET