Polymarket Trader

callmepaul

0x22366c8e7b7822b36f734502cf1434666cce5186

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.02
Realized PnL: $23.11
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Kamala Harris say "Donald" or "Trump" 5 or more times during DNC speech?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ballroom" during UFC 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.7

No position

Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" during Elon interview?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump post "Soccer" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.3
Potential profit: $3.3
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $1.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $1.85
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $0.62
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 3rd most gold medals?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

No position

Will Nadal win a gold medal in Paris?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of June 8 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Katie Ledecky (USA) win Gold in Women's 800m Freestyle?

Ends Aug 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Iran military response by Friday?

Ends Aug 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Bitcoin all time high in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Hikaru Nakamura win the Speed Chess Championship?

Ends Sep 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Andrew Tate arrested in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2024 meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Turkey suspends diplomatic relations with Israel?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Israel invade Lebanon by Friday?

Ends Aug 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will France win Gold in Men's Basketball?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Trump and Harris debate before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 61% 1.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Down 32% 3.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Down 84% 3.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Down 39% 2.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Up 52% 1.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Down 54% 1.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Up 25% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Down 50% 2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Down 49% 2.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Up 58% 3.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Up 32% 3.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Up 86% 3.49 shares