Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.97K
- Potential profit
- $22.97K
- User PnL
- -$642.94
Polymarket Trader
0x223b1E457964577Ff4FB18c7F40f454433b885df-1768735176852
0x223b1e457964577ff4fb18c7f40f454433b885df
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $162.81
- Realized PnL
- $3.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.37K
- Potential profit
- $10.37K
- User PnL
- -$215.52
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $966.25
- Potential profit
- $966.25
- User PnL
- -$65
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $954.52
- Potential profit
- $954.52
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $909.09
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $868.52
- Potential profit
- $868.52
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $862.07
- Potential profit
- $862.07
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $856.53
- Potential profit
- $856.53
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $122.1
- Potential payout
- $660
- Potential profit
- $537.9
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $23.1
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $606.94
- Potential profit
- $606.94
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $586.54
- Potential profit
- $586.54
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $24.27
- Potential payout
- $388.35
- Potential profit
- $364.08
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.73
Yes position
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $361.45
- Potential profit
- $361.45
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $355.29
- Potential profit
- $355.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $16.44
- Potential payout
- $353.57
- Potential profit
- $337.13
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$13.56
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $312.5
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $848.26
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $223.5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.08
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $137.76
Yes position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.67
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.49
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.84
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.28
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.13
Yes position
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.07
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.08
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.89
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.14
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.36
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.62
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.39
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.54
Yes position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.8
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.34
Yes position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.8% 862.07 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.8% 208.33 shares
- Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 21% 47.62 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?Yes 17% 117.65 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 1.2% 856.53 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 1.6% 606.94 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 70.6% 5 shares
- Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?Yes 8.5% 353.57 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 47.9% 475.22 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 97.1% 102.04 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes 24% 166.67 shares
- Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?Yes 0.5% 1,020 shares