No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $8.73K
- Potential payout
- $9.24K
- Potential profit
- $508.23
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $853.09
Polymarket Trader
pollybond
0x224d8f31cd00a206485460adaff9c0d42784e0e7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.98K
- Realized PnL
- $1.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $5.21K
- Potential payout
- $5.59K
- Potential profit
- $377.19
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $19.88
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.07K
- Potential payout
- $5.08K
- Potential profit
- $7.61
- User PnL
- $548.64
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $2.14K
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $110.49
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $92.45
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.2K
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $14.37
- User PnL
- $44.73
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.94K
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $203.68
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $182.24
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $178.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $30.5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $179.36
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $103.84
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $852.86
- Potential payout
- $855
- Potential profit
- $2.14
- User PnL
- $49.16
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.4%
- Current value
- $205.81
- Potential payout
- $244
- Potential profit
- $38.19
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $44.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $953.44
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.19
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $174.17
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 61% 194.51 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No 83% 427.79 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No 84% 1,000 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No 84% 1,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 90.7% 1,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 90.6% 205.14 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 88.6% 199.99 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 96.6% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 97.9% 100 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93.1% 100 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 91% 100 shares