No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Polymarket Trader
RQA
@aqiraaqari
0x22501e6a789f7ce7e99e6e18910e77bf4ae4cba6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $641.21
- Realized PnL
- $14.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $574.26
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $843.67
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$146.08
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$309
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$536.99
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.73
- Potential profit
- $92.73
- User PnL
- -$7.42
Y
Yes position
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $66.95
- Potential payout
- $79.23
- Potential profit
- $12.28
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $3.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $899.6
No position
Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $868.81
Yes position
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-07?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $849
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $790
No position
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $557.54
No position
Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $539.98
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $535.36
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $519.99
No position
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414.63
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $410.6
No position
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $315.75
No position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $310.14
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.43
Yes position
Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.39
No position
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.71
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.78
Yes position
Over $15M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.71
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.83
Yes position
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.43
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes 83% 374.99 shares
- Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes 62% 5.6 shares
- Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes 99% 828.67 shares
- Over $60M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes 5% 100 shares
- Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes 14% 200 shares
- Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes 64% 299 shares
- Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes 58% 118.98 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 64% 3,125 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 22% 2,000 shares
- Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Yes 28.2% 1,999.99 shares
- Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?No 7.1% 1,499.99 shares
- Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?No 28% 1,503.57 shares