Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.41K
- Potential profit
- $62.41K
- User PnL
- -$77.32
Polymarket Trader
TheComandanteCobra
0x225608ff8bc39653db20dfc4c4cbb3175b742225
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $106.25
- Realized PnL
- $826.87
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $12K
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.62K
- Potential profit
- $6.62K
- User PnL
- -$728.44
No position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.17K
- Potential profit
- $3.17K
- User PnL
- -$12.99
Yes position
Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $17.55
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
No position
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $45
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $954.98
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$46
No position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Saturday?
Ends Jul 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555
- Potential profit
- $555
- User PnL
- -$40.05
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $350
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the ECB announce an increase at the July meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $334
- Potential profit
- $334
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Monday?
Ends Jul 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $213.5
- Potential profit
- $213.5
- User PnL
- -$15.08
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$24
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.9%
- Current value
- $43.7
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $156.29
- Multiplier
- 4.58x
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124
- Potential profit
- $124
- User PnL
- -$4.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $538.32
Yes position
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.8
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.5
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.21
Yes position
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.59
Yes position
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 30?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.3
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.65
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Fed rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
Yes position
Bitcoin above $120,000 on July 25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Klarna IPO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
X relaunches Vine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45-50 million views on day 1?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.5% 100 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 3.4% 320.08 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.5% 1,000 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 77.1% 10 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.5% 200 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 3.9% 42.96 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes 0.7% 150 shares
- 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?No 95.1% 5 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.9% 9.81 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 4.3% 24 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 350 shares