Polymarket Trader

subtext

0x22692b1755361fe5c9b842ab1b4a7cf4fe1dc17a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.69
Realized PnL: -$76.59
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.4
Potential profit: $24.4
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.72
Potential profit: $21.72
User PnL: -$7.3

Yes position

Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.25
Potential profit: $18.25
User PnL: -$1.11

No position

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $18.15
Potential profit: $17.54
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $15.3
Potential profit: $14.45
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.31
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.19
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $5.63
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.08
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $2.23
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $0.1

Netherlands position

ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Pakistan vs Netherlands

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 10%
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will Trump say "Claude" or "Anthropic" this week? (March 22)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.64

Yes position

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.78

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.46

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.57

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$36.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

No 8.3% 18.15 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 24% 20.83 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

No 15% 6.67 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?

No 30% 3.33 shares
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 36% 2.78 shares
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 48% 2.08 shares
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 28% 3.57 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Yes 6.5% 15.3 shares
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Yes 25% 4 shares
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Pakistan vs Netherlands

Netherlands 30% 3.33 shares