Polymarket Trader

ExcaliburWeb3

@hkasana528

0x226c227df287e970fd97357a49a3a6d21048e6e1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.2
Realized PnL: $131.43
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Flashbots be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will OKX be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$34

Yes position

Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 25?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.17
Potential profit: $190.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135
Potential profit: $135
User PnL: -$2.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.88
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.8
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $69.76
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $52.99
Potential profit: $52.51
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $42.75
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.73
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$5.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$9.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.58
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.52
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$3.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.72
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $46.27
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: $2.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.2
Potential profit: $36.2
User PnL: -$21.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.72
Potential profit: $34.72
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.46

Yes position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Up 26% 3.85 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 11% 27.27 shares
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 52.2% 59.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Up 1% 100 shares
Hamburg European Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ignacio Buse

Flavio Cobolli 37% 2.7 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 79.6% 11.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 15.5% 6.45 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 19% 39.87 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 21% 21.64 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 12.5% 39.87 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 46.2% 21.65 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 32% 31.25 shares