No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $5.17
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $6.45
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Polymarket Trader
0x2274...4ece
0x2274e22b7a4403a8268960823734cedf84ff4ece
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $15.56
- Realized PnL
- $5.04
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $4.4
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $3.67
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $3.52
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.48
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $5.32
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Yes position
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2.25B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
N
No position
Will "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.31
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.12
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.81
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes 24% 6.08 shares
- Will "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No 63% 7.87 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 39% 8 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No 62% 8.06 shares
- Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?No 61% 3.05 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No 41% 8 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 75% 6.59 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 73% 6.59 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 58% 3.05 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 43% 11.63 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes 21.7% 6.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?Yes 41% 8 shares