Yes position
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $27.54
- Potential payout
- $4.24K
- Potential profit
- $4.21K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$56.04
Polymarket Trader
0x2279dd02a46eE2C49Bec7b412903114276E4D2F8-1724527478856
0x2279dd02a46ee2c49bec7b412903114276e4d2f8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $267.1
- Realized PnL
- $1.29K
- Win rate
- 29.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $225.29
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- $150.3
Yes position
Congressman joins the America Party before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$135
Yes position
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$170
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 4β11?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $6.38
- Potential payout
- $750.81
- Potential profit
- $744.43
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$13.62
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $578.85
- Potential profit
- $578.85
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $7.89
- Potential payout
- $543.88
- Potential profit
- $535.99
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$22.11
Yes position
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $523.41
- Potential profit
- $523.41
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $501.02
- Potential profit
- $501.02
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $407.08
- Potential profit
- $407.08
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Obama endorse Mamdani?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $368.42
- Potential profit
- $368.42
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $322.64
- Potential profit
- $322.64
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 90β104 times July 4β11?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $321.44
- Potential profit
- $321.44
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $307.16
- Potential profit
- $307.16
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.96
- Potential profit
- $240.96
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?
Ends Jun 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $219
- Potential profit
- $219
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $211.86
- Potential profit
- $211.86
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 255β269 times July 4β11?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175.14
- Potential profit
- $175.14
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $147.06
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 240β254 times July 4β11?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.56
- Potential profit
- $140.56
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.52
- Potential profit
- $122.52
- User PnL
- -$40
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $552.86
Yes position
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.52
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.33
Yes position
Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.1
Yes position
Will the Reconciliation bill receive 217β218 votes?
Ends Jul 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.57
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.69
No position
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will RafaΕ Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will the Democratic candidate win Arizona by 0%-1.0%?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.86
Yes position
Will the Democratic candidate win Arizona by 2.0%-3.0%?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-2?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-3?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Trump win no swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 68-70%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35
Y
Yes position
Will U.S. GDP growth be less than -2% in Q1 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the Democratic candidate win Arizona by 1.0%-2.0%?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Y
Yes position
Will U.S. GDP growth be between -1% and -2% in Q1 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$53.84
Yes position
Will Trump win 1 swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?No 32.6% 122.52 shares
- Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2.2% 1,542.13 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 4.2% 595.24 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2.7% 750.81 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5.5% 543.88 shares
- Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.9% 2,694.38 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 4.1% 1,229 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 17% 117.65 shares
- Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Yes 10% 501.02 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?No 24.4% 307.16 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes 4% 1,235 shares
- Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?Yes 38.1% 394.1 shares