Polymarket Trader

tdk369

0x227c36f6cb798d5ae70bfdeeca965b7dec5003f5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $12.09K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.64K
Potential profit: $12.64K
User PnL: -$9.88K

No position

Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$368.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4K

No position

Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11K

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72K

Yes position

Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $869.18

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $404.98

Yes position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.44

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.64

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.57

Yes position

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.5

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.28

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.45

Yes position

OpenAI browser in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.03

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.4

Yes position

Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.4

Yes position

Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.05

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

Yes position

OpenAI browser by October 24?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.27

Yes position

Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$30.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Yes 96.6% 388.61 shares
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Yes 97.6% 204 shares
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Yes 97.6% 204 shares
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Yes 97.7% 142.21 shares
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Yes 97.6% 240 shares
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Yes 95.8% 45 shares
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Yes 95.8% 238 shares
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Yes 96% 208 shares
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Yes 96% 208 shares
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Yes 95.9% 183 shares
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Yes 95.4% 100 shares
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Yes 95.3% 180 shares