Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $367.13
- Potential payout
- $5.52K
- Potential profit
- $5.15K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- $67.13
Polymarket Trader
PandaPandaPanda
0x22836aa6c071e1c74775e1f160064845faf672ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.12K
- Realized PnL
- $252.29
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $181.12
- Potential payout
- $4.42K
- Potential profit
- $4.24K
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$18.88
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $197.65
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $162.43
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $957.8
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$37.56
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.6%
- Current value
- $223.42
- Potential payout
- $550.96
- Potential profit
- $327.55
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $23.42
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $207.69
- Potential payout
- $512.82
- Potential profit
- $305.13
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $7.69
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Current value
- $218.72
- Potential payout
- $273.22
- Potential profit
- $54.51
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $18.72
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $225.3
- Potential payout
- $240.96
- Potential profit
- $15.66
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $25.3
No position
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $217.26
- Potential payout
- $227.02
- Potential profit
- $9.76
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $17.26
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $118.13
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $6.88
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $18.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $427.16
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.07
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.38
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.71
No position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.42
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.72
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.01
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
No position
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.36
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.36
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.61
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.95
No position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$5.19
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$22.26
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$22.73
No position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.44
Yes position
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$28.04
Yes position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39.09
Yes position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.99
No position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$52
Yes position
Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?Yes 0.1% 1,269.23 shares
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 4.5% 4,417.57 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 36.3% 550.96 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 240.96 shares
- Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?Yes 2% 1,893.91 shares
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.8% 4,318.64 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 51% 151.51 shares
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 39% 512.82 shares
- Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?Yes 10.6% 1,893.92 shares
- Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.9% 7,692.3 shares
- Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?No 88.1% 227.02 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 16.7% 1,197.91 shares