Polymarket Trader

0x2284...b334

0x2284869ec93c36fc5604ba818b1f7a647c68b334

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $18.43
Realized PnL: $225.3
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $13.55
Potential payout: $13.66
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $1.61

No position

Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $5.31
Potential profit: $0.43
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.66

Yes position

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.59

Yes position

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.03

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.37

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.77

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.88

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.86

No position

Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.84

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.87

Yes position

Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.35

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.69

Yes position

Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64

No position

Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $3.78

No position

Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $2.37

Yes position

Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Starmer out by June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

No 60% 0.18 shares
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

No 61% 0.06 shares
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

No 62% 0.01 shares
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

No 37% 15.76 shares
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Yes 22% 18.06 shares
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Yes 32% 18.06 shares
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

No 88% 6 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 30.8% 14.57 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 40% 14.58 shares
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Over 50% 11.76 shares
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Over 49% 0.22 shares
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Over 49% 0.3 shares