Polymarket Trader

Hotdog34

0x228803be046ef2aa4f58c6e6850718ac2cad786b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.18K
Realized PnL: $773.62
Win rate: 88.9%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.64K
User PnL: -$588.8

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.3%
Current value: $305.56
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 4.48x
User PnL: -$854.34

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $64.2
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $3

No position

Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $999.98
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $6.86
Potential payout: $914.16
Potential profit: $907.3
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$3.14

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $58
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $742
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: -$16.9

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $13.14
Potential payout: $710
Potential profit: $696.87
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$1.78

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $533.06
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$27.5

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $270
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $130
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $15

No position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $265.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $34.5
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $278.91
Potential profit: $278.91
User PnL: -$68.62

No position

Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225
Potential profit: $225
User PnL: -$37

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $32.92
Potential payout: $224.72
Potential profit: $191.8
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $12.92

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $25.65
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $159.54
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$4.35

Yes position

Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $54.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $45.5
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.91
Potential profit: $67.91
User PnL: -$1.43

No position

Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$12.8

Yes position

Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $35.4
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$8.2

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $39.22
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0.78
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $22.35
Potential payout: $37.88
Potential profit: $15.53
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $0.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.29

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.78

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $32.54

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $7.3

No position

Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$37.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 60% 400 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 42% 400 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 9% 555.56 shares
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Yes 18% 277.78 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Yes 32% 3,008.47 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Yes 33.2% 3,008.47 shares
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 1.1% 914.16 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?

Yes 25% 200 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.9% 224.72 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 185.19 shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 6% 110 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Yes 53% 558.06 shares