Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.9%
- Current value
- $130.05
- Potential payout
- $449.99
- Potential profit
- $319.94
- Multiplier
- 3.46x
- User PnL
- $94.05
Polymarket Trader
0x228D89152Bb53D94637DC938034562E79f2aE064-1769125664904
0x228d89152bb53d94637dc938034562e79f2ae064
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $138.17
- Realized PnL
- $172.5
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.81
- Potential profit
- $196.81
- User PnL
- -$10.04
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $58.13
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$5.63
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $31.96
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.58
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.05
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will John Oliver say "Government" 3+ times on Last Week Tonight?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Yes position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 5.1% 196.08 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.5% 77.14 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 88.8% 308.57 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 80% 2.5 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes 21% 95.24 shares
- Will John Oliver say "Government" 3+ times on Last Week Tonight?No 8.1% 20.49 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes 28% 35.71 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes 35% 100 shares
- Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?Yes 21% 95.24 shares
- Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?Yes 21% 171.78 shares
- Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?Yes 20.7% 96.43 shares
- Trump out as President by March 31?Yes 3.1% 419.35 shares