Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.6%
- Current value
- $307.75
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 6.87x
- User PnL
- $7.75
Polymarket Trader
0x2296B8a612Be4ca7688a19c1De089989B2e02331-1773694483917
0x2296b8a612be4ca7688a19c1de089989b2e02331
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $967.69
- Realized PnL
- $489.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $629.31
- Potential payout
- $1.72K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$370.69
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $10.87
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $181.44
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $0.87
Detroit Tigers position
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $181.82
- User PnL
- -$100
Novak Djokovic position
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.48
- Potential profit
- $149.48
- User PnL
- -$100
Cincinnati Reds position
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.96
- Potential profit
- $138.96
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.65
- Potential profit
- $126.65
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $9.21
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $43.42
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $10.55
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $26.49
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Hapoel Tel Aviv position
Monaco vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.69
- Potential profit
- $29.69
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$10
Tampa Bay Rays position
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.72
- Potential profit
- $16.72
- User PnL
- -$9.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Tampa Bay Rays position
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.12
Baltimore Orioles position
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.93
Pittsburgh Pirates position
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.85
Ignacio Buse position
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Ignacio Buse
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.14
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.15
New York Yankees position
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.17
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57
New York Yankees position
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 11.8% 847.02 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 14.5% 689.56 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 17.3% 578.54 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 83% 120.48 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.2% 192.31 shares
- Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes 27% 18.52 shares
- Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes 27% 18.52 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 60% 33.33 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes 58% 34.48 shares
- Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes 22% 22.73 shares
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland GuardiansNew York Yankees 31% 32.26 shares