Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $12.97
- Potential payout
- $198
- Potential profit
- $185.03
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$85.05
Polymarket Trader
homaki
0x2298c203d9921555a008d85770d7710871989f33
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $422.46
- Realized PnL
- $496.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $184.73
- Potential payout
- $197.67
- Potential profit
- $12.95
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $99.73
Yes position
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $21.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $3.88
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $19.63
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $5.38
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $5.38
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $19.63
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $21.38
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $3.63
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $23.89
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $6.38
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $18.63
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.7%
- Current value
- $20.41
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $4.59
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.81
No position
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $16.25
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.3%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $22.69
- Multiplier
- 10.81x
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Yes position
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 86.3%
- Current value
- $21.58
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $3.43
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2027?
Ends Oct 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $3.62
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $21.38
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Yes position
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $20.5
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $9.75
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $24.3
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.3%
- Current value
- $18.31
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $6.69
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $10.69
- Potential payout
- $22.05
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $10.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $9.7
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or higher on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C or higher on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?Yes 45% 24 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 58% 20 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes 64% 25 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?No 38% 15 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?No 34% 7.05 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?No 14% 25 shares
- Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2027?No 16% 25 shares
- Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?No 13.6% 25 shares
- Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?No 93% 25 shares
- Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?No 14% 25 shares
- Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by September 30?Yes 97.7% 25 shares
- Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?No 7% 25 shares