Polymarket Trader

abc3

0x22a42db19a1dd2d7c214e1043a6c557c8eec13e5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $873.54
Realized PnL: $1.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $49.61
Potential payout: $735
Potential profit: $685.39
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$29.77

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $121.6
Potential payout: $615.71
Potential profit: $494.11
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $23.09

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $69.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $430.75
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$15.25

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $87.5
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $37.5
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $108.51
Potential payout: $109.99
Potential profit: $1.48
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $9.71

No position

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $94.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $5.35
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.70 Week of June 22 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.35
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1.45

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $61.44
Potential payout: $96
Potential profit: $34.56
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $8.93

Yes position

Will Argentina be the highest-scoring team in Group J during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $70.65
Potential payout: $72.91
Potential profit: $2.26
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $15.97

Yes position

Will Switzerland be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $10.8
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $49.2
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$25.8

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $59.52
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $0.48
User PnL: $10.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $31.32
Potential payout: $51.35
Potential profit: $20.03
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$39.5

Yes position

Will Spain be the highest-scoring team in Group H during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $38.21
Potential payout: $46.34
Potential profit: $8.13
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $2.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.88
Potential profit: $31.88
User PnL: -$12.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$7.2

No position

Will Qatar be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $22.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $2.63
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Marconi Perillo win the Governor of Goiás election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $21.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $3.38
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will Qatar be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $21.53
Potential payout: $24.75
Potential profit: $3.22
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.7
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$7.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Guy Den Ouden position

Heilbronn: Pavel Kotov vs Guy Den Ouden

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.49

Up position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.2

Up position

Meta (META) Up or Down on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.85

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 6?

Ends Aug 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.2

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.77

Up position

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.9

100 Thieves position

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.76

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.67

ex-RUBY position

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.32

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.87

Yes position

Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.0B?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 59.1%
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $43.44

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.39

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.73

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.44

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.43

Deep Cross Gaming position

LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.25

Up position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Up position

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.31

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?

No 82% 25.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?

Yes 81% 27.68 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?

Yes 85% 4.64 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 22?

Yes 38% 28.12 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?

No 87.9% 60 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 22?

Yes 40.4% 60 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?

No 53% 49.29 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?

Yes 32% 10 shares
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?

No 68% 25.5 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.6% 765 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.8% 499.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 22?

No 98.4% 60 shares