Polymarket Trader

Dumpahhh

0x22b090adc980a2ed38f38635313c83a880ddef31

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $429.21
Realized PnL: $4.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.7%
Current value: $258.23
Potential payout: $620
Potential profit: $361.77
Multiplier: 2.40x
User PnL: $151.63

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $118.87
Potential payout: $354.82
Potential profit: $235.96
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $33.67

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $348.11
Potential profit: $347.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.06

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $51.94
Potential payout: $107.1
Potential profit: $55.16
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $21.04

Yes position

Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$8.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $603.02

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.05

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.42

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.37

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.4

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.99

No position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.71

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?

Yes 30% 50 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 23% 99.99 shares
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?

Yes 31.3% 80.52 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 520 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Yes 27.9% 24.51 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Yes 27% 135 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Yes 3.9% 143.13 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Yes 13.7% 54.98 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

Yes 15% 30.27 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 8% 100 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Yes 8.8% 50 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Yes 7.3% 155 shares