No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $26.96
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.34
Polymarket Trader
296122
0x22be51440e23ad311c0778c52f4cdb7bc3d4ab33
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.96
- Realized PnL
- $95.27
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.14
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.68
Yes position
Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.64
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
China-Vietnam trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Was JFK assassinated by a foreign government?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Israel strikes Iranian oil in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
New Pope in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Israel strike on Tehran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 8-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will FARTCOIN be listed on Hyperliquid this week?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$9.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Yes 99.9% 26.74 shares
- Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes 99.6% 105.52 shares
- Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes 96.9% 105.52 shares
- Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Yes 99.1% 103.29 shares
- Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Yes 97.2% 103.29 shares
- Israel strikes Iranian oil in June?Yes 99.7% 100.4 shares
- Israel strike on Tehran before July?Yes 99.9% 100.1 shares
- China-Vietnam trade deal before June?Yes 99.6% 176.02 shares
- China-Vietnam trade deal before June?Yes 98.9% 24.38 shares
- Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?Yes 99.3% 199.43 shares
- Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No 99.7% 198.03 shares
- Will FARTCOIN be listed on Hyperliquid this week?Yes 94.6% 208.71 shares