Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $69
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $9
Polymarket Trader
Certainlynot
0x22bf56c46bdcce78dc5d705edcd97e7e073845ea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $158.45
- Realized PnL
- $2.18
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $27.61
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $15.87
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $7.61
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $33.08
- Potential payout
- $41.1
- Potential profit
- $8.01
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $3.08
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $14.89
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $7.84
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $9.89
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $12.77
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.77
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 74% 13.51 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 46% 43.48 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?No 10% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?No 10% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 24, 2026?No 9% 11.11 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?No 86.3% 23.17 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 73% 41.1 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 80% 75 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 22% 22.73 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 78.2% 50 shares