Polymarket Trader

0x22C3da775C1CF4A0C85c8b02BF1497C35A495490-1725945555180

0x22c3da775c1cf4a0c85c8b02bf1497c35a495490

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.18
Realized PnL: $1.29K
Win rate: 29.2%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4AM ET

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$735.99

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 5PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $711.75
Potential profit: $711.75
User PnL: -$355.88

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 4AM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $441.34
Potential profit: $441.34
User PnL: -$222.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.65
Potential profit: $300.65
User PnL: -$150.32

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $271.08
Potential profit: $271.08
User PnL: -$135.54

Yes position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $15.18
Potential payout: $233.47
Potential profit: $218.3
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$29.18

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.95
Potential profit: $162.95
User PnL: -$81.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 7AM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.5
Potential profit: $127.5
User PnL: -$63.75

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4PM ET

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.49
Potential profit: $126.49
User PnL: -$64.51

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 5AM ET

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.84
Potential profit: $121.84
User PnL: -$62.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $544.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.63

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.63

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.37

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 3AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.18

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 6AM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.67

Yes position

Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $0

No position

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Fed rate cut by September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Down 50% 291.26 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Down 50% 162.95 shares
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Down 50% 260.95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Down 50% 295.88 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 4AM ET

Up 51% 218.43 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 3AM ET

Down 51% 153.43 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 6AM ET

Down 51% 125.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 7AM ET

Down 50% 127.5 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 5AM ET

Down 51% 121.84 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1

Yes 0.7% 1,146 shares
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Yes 19% 233.47 shares
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?

Yes 84.8% 2.24 shares