Polymarket Trader

tiburon

0x22d3f8a94992261392eed316429b466d72895e3a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $45.62K
Realized PnL: $158.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $11.65K
Potential payout: $59.76K
Potential profit: $48.11K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $380.38

No position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.98K
Potential profit: $13.98K
User PnL: -$9.22K

No position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $4.21K
Potential payout: $10.16K
Potential profit: $5.94K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$405.99

No position

Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $5.71K
Potential payout: $8.16K
Potential profit: $2.45K
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$81.61

No position

Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $698.58
Potential payout: $5.57K
Potential profit: $4.87K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $69.59

No position

Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $4.55K
Potential payout: $5.32K
Potential profit: $771.69
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $26.61

No position

Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $2.28K
Potential payout: $4.96K
Potential profit: $2.68K
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$99.2

No position

Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $3.92K
Potential payout: $4.87K
Potential profit: $948.85
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $12.66

No position

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $4.17K
Potential profit: $2.61K
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$113.96

No position

Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $495.49
Potential payout: $3.42K
Potential profit: $2.92K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$119.6

No position

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $3.32K
Potential profit: $2.14K
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $16.62

No position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $397.56
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $2.17K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$80.42

No position

Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$51

No position

Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $1.77K
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $241.97
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $504.11

No position

Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $914.64
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $110.56

No position

Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $590.99
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$75.57

No position

Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $671.71
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $438.55
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $21.71

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $542.55
Potential payout: $943.56
Potential profit: $401.01
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $14.15

No position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $482.99
Potential payout: $919.99
Potential profit: $437
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$50.6

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $706.15
Potential payout: $753.23
Potential profit: $47.08
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.98

No position

Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $299.14
Potential payout: $604.32
Potential profit: $305.18
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$3.02

No position

Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $418.99
Potential payout: $537.16
Potential profit: $118.18
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $21.99

No position

Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $371
Potential payout: $522.53
Potential profit: $151.53
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $76.92
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $307.69
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $26.92

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Gukesh position

World Chess Championship 2024 Winner

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.47K

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2K

No position

Will Saquon Barkley win Super Bowl LIX MVP?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.49K

No position

Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.89K

No position

Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9K

No position

Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.31K

No position

Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28K

No position

Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.97K

Yes position

Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.97K

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78K

No position

Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45K

No position

Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29K

No position

Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23K

No position

Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19K

No position

Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07K

No position

Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06K

No position

Will the fight go the distance?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91K

No position

Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51K

No position

Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37K

No position

Will Sweden be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06K

No position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

No position

Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

Will Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

No position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 81.9% 615.32 shares
Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 80% 2,846.84 shares
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 48% 239.61 shares
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 48% 2,439.58 shares
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 60% 686.78 shares
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 60% 1,873.68 shares
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 48% 2,281.25 shares
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)

Los Angeles Sparks 32% 140.63 shares
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 41% 2,543.19 shares
Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 80% 1,403.75 shares
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 58.5% 1,110.26 shares
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 18% 1,000 shares