Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.08K
- Potential profit
- $4.08K
- User PnL
- -$673.33
Polymarket Trader
elgogd
0x22e235753a65920b7c9a7d7d2dc5f991a1bb42d6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $173.96
- Realized PnL
- $6.51K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.63K
- Potential profit
- $3.63K
- User PnL
- -$31
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.41K
- Potential profit
- $3.41K
- User PnL
- -$718.79
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- User PnL
- -$852.99
Yes position
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- User PnL
- -$1.16K
Yes position
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $173.96
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$126.04
Yes position
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- User PnL
- -$294
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $914.44
- Potential profit
- $914.44
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $886.35
- Potential profit
- $886.35
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $694.44
- Potential profit
- $694.44
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $690.68
- Potential profit
- $690.68
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $688.25
- Potential profit
- $688.25
- User PnL
- -$262
Yes position
Will Russia enter Borova by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $512.93
- Potential profit
- $512.93
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $507.29
- Potential profit
- $507.29
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $491.21
- Potential profit
- $491.21
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $474.73
- Potential profit
- $474.73
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $430.12
- Potential profit
- $430.12
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $387.5
- Potential profit
- $387.5
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $384.62
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $352.94
- Potential profit
- $352.94
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $282.57
- Potential profit
- $282.57
- User PnL
- -$10.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $163.47
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $125.15
Yes position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.5
Yes position
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.16
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $51.64
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.17
Yes position
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.08
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.79
Yes position
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.62
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.12
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.78
Yes position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Yes position
Will Russia enter Novopavlivka by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
Yes position
Will Russia capture Uspenivka by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Russia capture Uspenivka by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Russian Capture Edition
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?Yes 48.5% 2,389.16 shares
- Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?Yes 22% 454.55 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?Yes 59.1% 507.29 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?Yes 40.7% 491.21 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?Yes 8.6% 231.68 shares
- Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?Yes 54.4% 110.36 shares
- Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?Yes 22.4% 446.65 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?Yes 3.7% 282.57 shares
- Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes 0.9% 3,626.88 shares
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?Yes 38.6% 453.3 shares
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?Yes 6.6% 914.44 shares
- Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?Yes 28.5% 280.24 shares