No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $173.34K
- Potential payout
- $210.11K
- Potential profit
- $36.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $8.39K
Polymarket Trader
ProfessionalPunter
@evan_semet
0x22e4248bdb066f65c9f11cd66cdd3719a28eef1c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $365.76K
- Realized PnL
- $413.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $84.66K
- Potential payout
- $100.79K
- Potential profit
- $16.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $42.06K
Yes position
Will Maria Deery win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $23.85
- Potential payout
- $47.7K
- Potential profit
- $47.67K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.42K
Yes position
Will Simon Finkelstein win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $23.85
- Potential payout
- $47.7K
- Potential profit
- $47.67K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.42K
Yes position
Will James Thomas Bryer win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $23.85
- Potential payout
- $47.7K
- Potential profit
- $47.67K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.42K
Yes position
Will John Skipworth win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $23.85
- Potential payout
- $47.7K
- Potential profit
- $47.67K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.42K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $44.84K
- Potential payout
- $45K
- Potential profit
- $157.5
- User PnL
- $452.52
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$17.47K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $19.95K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- $39.16
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $928.04
- Potential payout
- $18.56K
- Potential profit
- $17.63K
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.09K
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $12.16K
- Potential payout
- $12.3K
- Potential profit
- $141.5
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $43.73
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.63K
- Potential profit
- $10.63K
- User PnL
- -$5.96K
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $8.87K
- Potential payout
- $10.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $153.5
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $9.94K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- $818.25
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $3.62K
- Potential payout
- $8.41K
- Potential profit
- $4.79K
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.6K
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $7.33K
- Potential payout
- $8.29K
- Potential profit
- $952.9
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $290.01
Yes position
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.27K
No position
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.76K
Yes position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.23K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.85K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.66K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $21.17K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.95K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.86K
Yes position
Chirayu Rana sued?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.36K
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.53K
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.13K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.8K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.93K
No position
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.65K
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $9.86K
Utah State Aggies position
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2K
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $9.2K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.68K
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.54K
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $8.39K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.32K
Yes position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.19K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.11K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 35% 3,020 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 74.1% 7,502.62 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 76% 255.55 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 79.7% 1,999.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 80.2% 20,920 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 81% 2,248.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 80% 12,663.4 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 1,996.12 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 4,657.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 11,538.55 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 80% 16,960.65 shares