Yes position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $65.52
- Potential payout
- $624
- Potential profit
- $558.48
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$3.12
Polymarket Trader
AmandaMiller2862
0x22f27959816eedf20f5b965797dafa09a4ca90d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $562.19
- Realized PnL
- $12.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.8%
- Current value
- $207.81
- Potential payout
- $278
- Potential profit
- $70.2
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $33.5
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.3%
- Current value
- $67.42
- Potential payout
- $267
- Potential profit
- $199.58
- Multiplier
- 3.96x
- User PnL
- -$98.39
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $83.81
- Potential payout
- $111
- Potential profit
- $27.19
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $13.88
No position
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $49.88
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $7.13
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $43.12
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $6.37
No position
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.9%
- Current value
- $27.67
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $18.34
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $10.35
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $19.65
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$12.84
Yes position
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $17.88
- Potential profit
- $17.84
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $2.56
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $6.44
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.13
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.48
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.59
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.97
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $904.86
Over position
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $870.46
Yes position
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $848.31
Yes position
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $757.7
Under position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $690.12
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $566.89
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 26, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $561
Yes position
Will "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $559.38
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $543.24
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 2 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $518.19
Over position
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 1.5
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $489.78
Over position
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $439.96
Over position
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $404.61
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be greater than 2,300,000?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $382.2
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $361.2
Yes position
Will "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.57
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.8
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 18, 3AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.5
sleepers position
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 - Map 1 Winner
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.72
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.21
Yes position
Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-02-11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $276.1
Under position
FK Oleksandriya vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.73
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 7 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?No 81% 887 shares
- Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.4% 55 shares
- Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?No 82% 25 shares
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?No 59% 1,056 shares
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No 0.3% 1,078 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No 61% 762 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No 62% 762 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No 68% 712 shares
- Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 44.5% 121 shares
- Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?No 86% 735 shares
- Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?No 82% 431 shares
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5Under 89% 202 shares