No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $77.75
- Potential payout
- $89.89
- Potential profit
- $12.13
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Polymarket Trader
Eric2011
0x231443c83d111850122dccd1fff07be69329b968
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $332.37
- Realized PnL
- $3.01
- Win rate
- 84.6%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $50.87
- Potential payout
- $58.14
- Potential profit
- $7.27
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $48.39
- Potential payout
- $48.41
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $18.39
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $39.77
- Potential payout
- $39.77
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.77
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $26.67
- Potential payout
- $26.67
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $16.32
- Potential payout
- $16.32
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $15.27
- Potential payout
- $15.58
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $11.24
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.6%
- Current value
- $10.17
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.8
- Potential payout
- $10.8
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.8
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $7.81
- Potential profit
- $6.88
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.06
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.88
- Potential profit
- $6.88
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.33
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.32
- Potential payout
- $6.32
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.09
- Potential payout
- $6.1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $5.52
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.26
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.26
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Trump say "Greenland" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.72
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Yes position
Will Trump say "European Union" or "EU" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will Trump say "NATO" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 89% 11.24 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No 95.5% 10.47 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 60% 16.67 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 82% 6.1 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 63% 31.75 shares
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 89% 11.24 shares
- Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes 75% 26.67 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?Yes 94.4% 5.3 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 7?No 95% 5.26 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes 70.6% 7.08 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes 87.3% 17.18 shares
- Will Trump say "Greenland" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Yes 33% 3.03 shares