Polymarket Trader

BullRunWaitingRoom

0x231e41edeb444c11921721226bd552b2265e9297

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.32K
Realized PnL: $11.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$5.4

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $786
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $14
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $15.6
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $784.4
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$48.4

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $515.85
Potential profit: $515.59
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$30.69

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $515.59
Potential payout: $515.85
Potential profit: $0.26
User PnL: $32.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4PM ET

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $495.02
Potential profit: $495.02
User PnL: -$83.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4PM ET

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $457
Potential profit: $457
User PnL: -$19.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6PM ET

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $435
Potential profit: $435
User PnL: -$79.3

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420.77
Potential profit: $420.77
User PnL: -$20.93

No position

Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $418.12
Potential profit: $418.12
User PnL: -$43.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4AM ET

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416
Potential profit: $416
User PnL: -$47.34

3DMAX position

CS: 3DMAX vs GamerLegion

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$210

paiN position

FISSURE Playground 2: FaZe vs. paiN

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12AM ET

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $389
Potential profit: $389
User PnL: -$133.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8PM ET

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $382.43
Potential profit: $382.43
User PnL: -$101.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10AM ET

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$252.49

BNK FEARX position

League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. BNK FEARX

Ends Sep 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$47.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8PM ET

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $336
Potential profit: $336
User PnL: -$21.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10PM ET

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$2.2

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.08
Potential profit: $294.08
User PnL: -$10.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10AM ET

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $292
Potential profit: $292
User PnL: -$33.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6AM ET

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265
Potential profit: $265
User PnL: -$43.13

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.61
Potential profit: $263.61
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 end of February?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.3
Potential profit: $259.3
User PnL: -$1.51

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

No position

Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6AM ET

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $744.02

No position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $739.98

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $714.83

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Xtreme Gaming

Ends Sep 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $637.5

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $487.55

No position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $454.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7AM ET

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $406.64

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: January

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $393.77

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in December?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.19

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.45

No position

Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.72

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Heroic

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310

Aurora position

CS: Aurora vs TYLOO

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280

JD Gaming position

League of Legends: EDward Gaming vs. JD Gaming

Ends Sep 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.4

No position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.25

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10AM ET

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.53

Yes position

Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.82

Invictus Gaming position

League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6PM ET

Ends Jul 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12PM ET

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Yes 6.5% 12.09 shares
Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 91.9% 12.09 shares
Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Yes 4.9% 12.23 shares
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 93.2% 12.23 shares
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Yes 26% 268.23 shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 60% 268.23 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?

Yes 0.6% 900 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?

No 97.6% 900 shares
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

No 40% 30 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: March

Something 60% 30 shares
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

No 40% 47 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: March

Something 60% 47 shares