No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $340.8
- Potential payout
- $389.49
- Potential profit
- $48.69
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.51
Polymarket Trader
Joker-DogVersion
0x2330f65ed7e017bc3d0d9a0a5aa20292103ced99
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $494.95
- Realized PnL
- $152.11
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $114.89
- Potential payout
- $225.28
- Potential profit
- $110.39
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $21.28
N
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $39.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $10.75
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $120.54
Team Vitality position
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.75
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.34
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $9.5
Leviatán Esports position
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $3.42
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.94
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$30.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No 90.9% 300 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?Yes 41.6% 225.28 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 92% 200 shares
- Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?Yes 99.9% 122.27 shares
- Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?Yes 89.8% 122.27 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No 80% 89.49 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 49% 225.78 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 66% 50 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 39.2% 124 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 59% 5 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 75% 170 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?No 75% 70.5 shares