Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $587.37K
- Potential profit
- $587.37K
- User PnL
- -$117.47K
Polymarket Trader
0x234E004FfBd27FD2E81b22c7fFa4D1CadcBB65d2-1778734275859
0x234e004ffbd27fd2e81b22c7ffa4d1cadcbb65d2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.16K
- Realized PnL
- $393K
- Win rate
- 68.8%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $101.08
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $53.81
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $373.78
- Potential profit
- $373.78
- User PnL
- -$74.76
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $215.26
- Potential payout
- $218.76
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $11.54
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $199.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- User PnL
- $5.72
No position
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $173.7
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $6.3
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $136.96
- Potential payout
- $162.09
- Potential profit
- $25.12
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $8.91
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $56.28
- Potential payout
- $154.19
- Potential profit
- $97.91
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$34.44
No position
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.9%
- Current value
- $136.65
- Potential payout
- $152
- Potential profit
- $15.35
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
No position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $107.53
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $2.47
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $12.93
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $38.61
- Potential payout
- $40.32
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.23
Up position
BNB Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.62
- Potential payout
- $8.62
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $760.53K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.35K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $70.08
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $34.2
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.53
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $16.59
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $10
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.97
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$45.99
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.15K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$186.44K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$194.43K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 96.1% 1,631.08 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 373.78 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 11,876.76 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 0.3% 1,034.24 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 200,005.67 shares
- Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in June?No 92.2% 136 shares
- Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 in June?No 96.7% 100 shares
- Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 in June?No 96.2% 80 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No 96.8% 100 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No 96.8% 100 shares
- Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in June?No 86% 110 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?No 92.7% 40.32 shares