No position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.4%
- Current value
- $96.04
- Potential payout
- $140.4
- Potential profit
- $44.37
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $10.88
Polymarket Trader
tianshi1189
0x2352f0bd8393a8017b09282faead25d033781d44
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $399.53
- Realized PnL
- $95.3
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $46.2
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $93.8
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Over position
Games Total: O/U 4.5
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.37
- Potential profit
- $114.37
- User PnL
- -$40.53
N
No position
Will 9+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $93.05
- Potential payout
- $100.6
- Potential profit
- $7.54
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $8.55
Y
Yes position
Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $83.5
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $85
- User PnL
- -$8.5
No position
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.95
- Potential profit
- $82.95
- User PnL
- -$41.25
Yes position
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.08
- Potential profit
- $75.08
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Florian Wirtz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$30
N
No position
Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $14.06
- Potential payout
- $30.57
- Potential profit
- $16.51
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $0.41
N
No position
Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $20.23
- Potential payout
- $30.19
- Potential profit
- $9.96
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$3.92
Y
Yes position
Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $18.9
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $11.1
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $13.8
No position
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.27
- Potential profit
- $27.27
- User PnL
- -$3
Egypt position
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $15.82
- Potential payout
- $20.95
- Potential profit
- $5.13
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $20.89
- Potential payout
- $20.94
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $7.39
No position
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.21
- Potential profit
- $20.21
- User PnL
- -$14.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20.01
- Potential profit
- $20
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.61
Yes position
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $14.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Tuyo FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $15.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Tuyo FDV above $80M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.1
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
City Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $10.8
- Potential payout
- $18.46
- Potential profit
- $7.66
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
City Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $12.55
- Potential payout
- $18.45
- Potential profit
- $5.9
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $5.44
Yes position
Giorgian De Arrascaeta: 1+ shots
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.19
- Potential profit
- $17.19
- User PnL
- -$9.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will Florian Wirtz score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.18
Yes position
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
Y
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.4
N
No position
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 1 Algeria?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.35
No position
Giorgian De Arrascaeta: 1+ shots on target
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Yes position
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent - Completed match?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
Natus Vincere position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Even position
Game 5: Odd/Even Total Kills?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Over 3.5 position
Jakub Mensik vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Up position
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Cabo Verde position
Spread: Spain (-2.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Cholet position
Cholet vs. Paris Basketball
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Under position
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Panama position
Spread: England (-1.5)
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Belgium position
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Cholet position
Spread: Paris Basketball (-8.5)
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Under position
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 1?Yes 72% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 2?No 71.5% 9.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 2?No 74% 9.99 shares
- Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?Yes 70% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 1?No 62.1% 10.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 1?Yes 23% 4.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 1?Yes 40.4% 14.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 2?No 71% 10.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 2?No 73% 10.21 shares
- Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?Yes 70% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 1?Yes 40% 1.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 1?Yes 47% 11.7 shares