kelbros

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$45.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $649.95
Potential profit: $649.95
User PnL: -$15.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $611.09
Potential profit: $611.09
User PnL: -$34.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$4.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$9.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.45
Potential profit: $168.45
User PnL: -$14.65

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$5.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.29
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $62.45
Potential payout: $62.48
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $57.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.53
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.44
Potential profit: $53.44
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.23
Potential profit: $45.23
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 25?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.64
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $25.14
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.25
Potential profit: $26.25
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.1
Potential profit: $19.1
User PnL: -$1.89

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$4.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15.62
Potential profit: $15.61
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.98
Potential profit: $6.98
User PnL: -$2.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on June 25?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.05
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 35.6%
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $4.4

No position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.59

Yes position

Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 58.5%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85.3%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.6%
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?