Polymarket Trader

TheSquamates

0x237cda7d7353ae9e33f9b13eaec5bcba8a4293ff

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.35
Realized PnL: $321.94
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $2.69K
User PnL: -$8.06

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $983.93
Potential profit: $983.93
User PnL: -$19.73

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $530
Potential profit: $530
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $241.25
Potential profit: $241.25
User PnL: -$9.65

Yes position

Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.51
Potential profit: $192.51
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $3.74
Potential payout: $191.78
Potential profit: $188.04
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $34.14
Potential profit: $32.69
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $0.24

Rafael Jodar position

Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $20.67
Potential profit: $19.51
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: -$2.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.93

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.2

Sinner position

Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.33

Yes position

Will Italy win?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.88

Yes position

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.53

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.3

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.6%
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $5.05

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.6

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.9%
Multiplier: 4.78x
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

NATO article 5 before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Gianluigi Donnarumma win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target Tehran?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?

Yes 3.5% 34.14 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 625 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?

Yes 2.6% 191.78 shares
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?

Yes 6% 86 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 241.25 shares
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

No 0.2% 530 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev

Rafael Jodar 21% 23.81 shares
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?

Yes 11% 86 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 625 shares
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 2,686.67 shares
Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.3% 192.51 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.4% 91.74 shares