Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$7
Polymarket Trader
nexus-
0x237e5fb898be8cf9cf8a9f30175aa5ebb0c5a482
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $31.61
- Realized PnL
- $4.54K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $16
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $184
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$41.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$43.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.98
- Potential profit
- $89.98
- User PnL
- -$29.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.75
- Potential profit
- $80.75
- User PnL
- -$39.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.6
- Potential profit
- $77.6
- User PnL
- -$30.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.45
- Potential profit
- $63.45
- User PnL
- -$34.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$22.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$13.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.99
- Potential profit
- $59.99
- User PnL
- -$6.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.82
- Potential profit
- $55.82
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.82
- Potential profit
- $55.82
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.77
- Potential profit
- $55.77
- User PnL
- -$16.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$29.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$13.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.6%
- Current value
- $6.93
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.07
- Multiplier
- 2.89x
- User PnL
- $3.69
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.61
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.1%
- Current value
- $3.41
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.59
- Multiplier
- 5.87x
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.37
- Multiplier
- 7.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $361.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $117.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETUp 49.8% 30 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETUp 47% 30 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETUp 37.5% 30 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETUp 37.7% 30 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETDown 23% 30 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETDown 22% 30 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETUp 92% 30 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETDown 26% 30 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETUp 49% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETUp 19% 30 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETUp 50% 30 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETDown 66.1% 30 shares