Polymarket Trader

VatnikPride

0x23849120e77d90086290922d597dc24b99dc3e0b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.31K
Realized PnL: $9.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $220.06
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $232.03

Yes position

Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $47.4
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $552.6
Multiplier: 12.66x
User PnL: -$3.25

Yes position

Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $181
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $21.64
Potential payout: $144.27
Potential profit: $122.63
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$7.33

Yes position

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $38.48
Potential payout: $135.06
Potential profit: $96.58
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$13.29

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $90.51
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.45
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$6.45

Yes position

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $53
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $47
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $90.5
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $80
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $23
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $76.99
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $72.19
Potential profit: $70.28
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$4.58

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $28.38
Potential payout: $30.68
Potential profit: $2.3
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $4.76

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $809.38

No position

Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $730.98

No position

Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?

Ends Feb 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $716.48

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $597.76

Yes position

Will Russia recapture Sudzha by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $470.48

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $423.7

No position

Will Sweden join NATO by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $392.55

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.53

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.34

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year?

Ends Dec 15, 2022

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $291.69

No position

Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.35

No position

Will Tucker say "Trump" 5 or more times during Lavrov interview?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.13

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $253.36

No position

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1?

Ends Oct 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.7

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.5

No position

Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $206.81

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $205.18

Yes position

Will Vladimir Putin say Nazi in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson?

Ends Feb 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.95

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.34

No position

Will Biden say "Navalny" during his State of the Union address?

Ends Mar 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144

No position

Will Tucker say "Ukraine" 10 or more times during Lavrov interview?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.92

Putin position

Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner

Ends Aug 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.66

Yes position

Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Yes 23.3% 14 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Yes 67% 10 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Yes 67% 20 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Yes 66% 74.51 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Yes 78% 169.32 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Yes 21% 7.5 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Yes 65% 52.26 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Yes 64% 105 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Yes 63% 231.1 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Yes 77% 29.35 shares
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11.3% 75 shares
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11% 100 shares