Polymarket Trader

0x2385...b8e9

0x238580c7afef960119677d43048981057e18b8e9

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $42.19
Realized PnL: $444.07
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.2K
Potential profit: $6.2K
User PnL: -$127.22

Yes position

Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $993.37
Potential profit: $993.37
User PnL: -$140

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $8.3
Potential payout: $395.42
Potential profit: $387.11
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$4.7

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $4.08
Potential payout: $107.42
Potential profit: $103.34
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $6.17
Potential payout: $85.11
Potential profit: $78.94
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: $2.17

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $4.07
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $62.6
Multiplier: 16.39x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $52.95
Potential profit: $51.57
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$3.62

Yes position

Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $3.73
Potential payout: $33.88
Potential profit: $30.15
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 16.4%
Current value: $5.42
Potential payout: $33.05
Potential profit: $27.63
Multiplier: 6.10x
User PnL: $1.42

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $26.16
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $19.18
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will the Justice and Welfare Party (UCID) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $8.49
Potential profit: $8.29
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$0.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11AM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.05

Arizona Diamondbacks position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.2%
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Tim Walz in jail by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Multiplier: 10.10x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Multiplier: 20.83x
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.83

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Up 10% 290 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Up 8% 250 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Up 15% 66.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Up 12% 75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Up 13.1% 68.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Up 18% 44.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Up 20% 90 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Up 33.5% 65.59 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Up 35% 42.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Down 61% 178.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Down 58% 51.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Down 34% 55.88 shares