Polymarket Trader

suctorial

0x2396efbdf9f1da9e7ee0249f46fdc0e0c10d57dc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.03K
Realized PnL: $2.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.4%
Current value: $93.06
Potential payout: $569.18
Potential profit: $476.12
Multiplier: 6.12x
User PnL: $7.13

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $416.67
Potential payout: $420.66
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: $48.03

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $14.07
Potential payout: $248.99
Potential profit: $234.92
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $203.88
Potential payout: $212.49
Potential profit: $8.61
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $9.53

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $10.57
Potential payout: $138.2
Potential profit: $127.63
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $101.33
Potential payout: $117.14
Potential profit: $15.81
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $16.21

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $110.57
Potential payout: $110.85
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $7.78

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $49.04
Potential profit: $48.38
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$15.19

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $35.6
Potential payout: $35.69
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $7.76

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $26.12
Potential payout: $29.46
Potential profit: $3.34
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.68

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $3.85
Potential payout: $25.9
Potential profit: $22.05
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $1.32

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $10.01
Potential payout: $10.15
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $5.53
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $4.09
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $2.31
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$0.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $780.87

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $393.07

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.25

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.4

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.69

No position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.3

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.85

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.41

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.03

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.91

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.74

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.51

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.32

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.59

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.26

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.46

No position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.1

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.74

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.74

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.59

Yes position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.34

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 4.6% 36.25 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 97.7% 4.08 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 96% 4.3 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.5% 79.57 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 98.23 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 29.51 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.4% 121.25 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 73% 10.15 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 20% 11.82 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 27% 54.79 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 30% 72.59 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 63% 69.24 shares