Yes position
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour finish second in the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Polymarket Trader
1565641sfdas
@bmZq5b6HDHXi4H5
0x239f6227b744c034138f68b57f372d9da2868b82
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $55.74
- Realized PnL
- $95.65
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Ends Nov 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $19.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $30.75
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$5.75
Y
Yes position
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.53
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$15.53
Yes position
Will Darren Jones be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.88
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.38
N
No position
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $15.02
- Potential payout
- $36.64
- Potential profit
- $21.62
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Y
Yes position
Will LI.FI launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.67
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$3.8
No position
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $10.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $9.1
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Y
Yes position
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$12.6
Yes position
SlingshotDAO FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.7
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Yes position
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.38
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Will 100T make a roster change before August?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.49
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$13.49
Y
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.1
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
No position
Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $15.33
- Potential profit
- $15.03
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $13.55
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $9.5
Yes position
Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 35%
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will Trump say "No No No Donald" in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Ends Oct 24, 2027- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in scoring?
Ends Apr 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Ends Aug 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Nancy Lacore be the Democratic nominee for SC-01?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 31% 8.85 shares
- Will Nous Research launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes 42% 20 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No 31.7% 20 shares
- Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 38% 20 shares
- Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?Yes 66% 20 shares
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 52% 38.14 shares
- Will Chaos Labs launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 56% 20 shares
- Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?No 26% 50 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 68% 50 shares
- Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?Yes 44% 20 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Yes 34.7% 20 shares
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 62% 11.86 shares