PetroCan

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $993.5
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $990.5
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $895.05
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $74.02
Potential payout: $630
Potential profit: $555.98
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $15.59

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $9.9
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $590.1
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $492.75
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $495.01
Potential profit: $495.01
User PnL: -$45.3

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $7.44
Potential payout: $480
Potential profit: $472.56
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$2.62

Yes position

Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $40.39
Potential payout: $351.21
Potential profit: $310.82
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$36.33

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $11.97
Potential payout: $303
Potential profit: $291.03
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $85.76
Potential payout: $281.17
Potential profit: $195.41
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$8.22

Yes position

Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $205.82
Potential payout: $251
Potential profit: $45.18
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $20.04

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $14.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $235.13
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.56
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $238.44
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$73.16

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $3.47
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $206.54
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $145
Potential profit: $144.35
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$45.15

Yes position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $6.91
Potential payout: $142.54
Potential profit: $135.62
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 16.2%
Current value: $19.38
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $100.62
Multiplier: 6.19x
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $94.47
Potential payout: $102.13
Potential profit: $7.66
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $6.08

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.25
Potential profit: $101.25
User PnL: -$7.49

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 81.6%
Current value: $48.92
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $11.07
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $29.5
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $18.75
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $31.24
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $3.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.27

Yes position

Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.08

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.86

Yes position

Will Do Kwon be sentenced to 12+ years in prison?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.13

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.6

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.23

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.93

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.64

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.9

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah receive between 20,000 and 30,000 votes in the 2025 Honduran presidential election?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.19

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $85.78

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.12

No position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.65

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.18

No position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.39

No position

Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.75

Yes position

Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.63

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.9

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.21

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $49.81

No position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.6

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?