Yes position
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.46K
- Potential profit
- $81.46K
- User PnL
- -$1.71K
Polymarket Trader
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0x23b998312d9d0a7fba1c736032aa3cdac35d0b21
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.26K
- Realized PnL
- $3.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.15K
- Potential profit
- $40.15K
- User PnL
- -$2.9K
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.71K
- Potential profit
- $29.71K
- User PnL
- -$6.9K
Yes position
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.39K
- Potential profit
- $9.39K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.25K
- Potential profit
- $9.25K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.87K
- Potential profit
- $7.87K
- User PnL
- -$489.71
Yes position
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.39K
- Potential profit
- $6.39K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.54K
- Potential profit
- $5.54K
- User PnL
- -$913.15
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.91K
- Potential profit
- $4.91K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $4.26K
- Potential payout
- $4.46K
- Potential profit
- $196.15
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.18K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$60
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Yes 0.9% 13,765.71 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 91.2% 137.87 shares
- Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Yes 2% 5,688 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 84.5% 142.13 shares
- Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Yes 2% 5,910.57 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 84.5% 146.53 shares
- Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Yes 2.1% 5,537.38 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 81.2% 151.06 shares
- Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Yes 2.1% 5,867.14 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83.7% 155.73 shares
- Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Yes 2.1% 6,066.67 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83.8% 160.55 shares