Polymarket Trader

9182736455463728190

0x23cc4d606d11eefaccb6609195322e1885284f5a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $560.64
Realized PnL: $22.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$13.1

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $46.72
Potential payout: $3.22K
Potential profit: $3.18K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$24.39

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.04

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $25.3
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $84.7
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $3.85
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $96.16
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$9.65

No position

Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $68.51
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $31.5
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $13.22

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $99.26
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $90.66
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: -$0.68

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 73.4%
Current value: $73.4
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $26.6
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $18.96

No position

Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 36.3%
Current value: $36.25
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $63.75
Multiplier: 2.76x
User PnL: $9.68

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $32
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $68
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $15.5

No position

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $2.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.35
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$11.03

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.75
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $83
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $17
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $4.9

Yes position

Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $58
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $42
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $38
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $62
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $12

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $55.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $44.5
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $3.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.22K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 24-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15K

Yes position

Will the CDU/CSU win by 8-10%?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $757.4

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $604.25

No position

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 achieve a sucessful splashdown?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $506.04

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $504.36

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500.91

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Nuggets

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $499

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 27, 4AM ET

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $498.5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $493.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $458.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $450.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $449.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $439.91

Johnson position

UFC 318: Johnson vs. Zellhuber

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $427.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $414.83

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $413.33

Sinner position

Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $384.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Yes 97.9% 0.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Up 99% 101.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Up 99% 5.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Up 98% 5.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Up 98% 5.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Up 95% 5.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Up 96% 5.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Up 97% 5.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Up 97% 5.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Up 46.6% 53.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Down 24% 20.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Down 33% 15.15 shares