Polymarket Trader

Bananas

0x23cfedd74e2f5d9ca7b5a75a1b6c0ef547193349

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $50
Realized PnL: $4.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$8.04

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$140

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be the #2 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $950
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$30.8

Yes position

Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$190

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$285

Yes position

Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$195

No position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$78

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$185.99

Yes position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.53
Potential profit: $145.53
User PnL: -$39.29

Yes position

Will Wind and Truth (Brandon Sanderson) win Readers’ Favorite Fantasy in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$13.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $637.49

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $374.96

No position

Will Trump and Elon say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during their Feb 18 interview?

Ends Feb 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.35

No position

Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.5

Yes position

Will Kamala say "border" 3+ times during her Nevada speech?

Ends Sep 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.75

No position

Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines in 2025?

Ends Nov 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176

No position

Will Trump say "disgrace" 2 or more times during North Carolina town hall?

Ends Oct 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.91

No position

Will the debate have 75 million or more viewers?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147

No position

Will Trump say "tax" 10 or more times during North Carolina town hall?

Ends Oct 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.8

No position

Will Trump and Elon say "Saudi Arabia" during their Feb 18 interview?

Ends Feb 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.09

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Michigan town hall?

Ends Sep 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132

Yes position

Will Trump say 'inflation' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $120.06

Yes position

Will "Anora" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.5

Yes position

Will Milton make landfall as a category 3?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.02

No position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.5

Yes position

Coinbase top 10 app on Friday?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $105

Yes position

Will Trump say "Border" 15 or more times during Univision town hall?

Ends Oct 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102

No position

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

No position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.99

No position

Bernie Sanders endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?

Yes 4.9% 15 shares
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?

No 76% 200 shares
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?

No 80.4% 200 shares
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?

No 58.6% 500 shares
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

Yes 4.4% 700 shares
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Yes 0.6% 1,500 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

No 69% 300 shares
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

No 63.7% 300 shares
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

No 74.6% 353.02 shares
Will Wind and Truth (Brandon Sanderson) win Readers’ Favorite Fantasy in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards?

Yes 19.3% 70 shares
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

No 40% 500 shares
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

No 55% 82.8 shares