Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.3%
- Current value
- $35.14
- Potential payout
- $202.65
- Potential profit
- $167.51
- Multiplier
- 5.77x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Polymarket Trader
smarthole
0x23d13b3e76d492f0743985fdf00d358bfee62100
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $259.11
- Realized PnL
- $32.93
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.3%
- Current value
- $21.95
- Potential payout
- $103.31
- Potential profit
- $81.35
- Multiplier
- 4.71x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $22.24
- Potential payout
- $103.19
- Potential profit
- $80.95
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $40.05
- Potential payout
- $102.83
- Potential profit
- $62.78
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $0.05
N
No position
Will Argentina win the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.1%
- Current value
- $82.04
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $17.95
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $12.47
- Potential payout
- $75.59
- Potential profit
- $63.12
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$12.72
Y
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $30.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $19.75
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$10
Over position
France vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8.6
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Fan" 5+ times during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8.6
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Speed" 5+ times during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8.6
No position
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.81
- Potential profit
- $5.81
- User PnL
- -$5
N
No position
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
N
No position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5.38
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
N
No position
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $5.02
- Potential payout
- $5.14
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.34
England position
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Linda Noskova position
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Jannik Sinner position
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Under position
France vs. Morocco: France 1st Half O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Onside" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
N
No position
Morocco to win the second half?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Y
Yes position
France to score first vs. Morocco?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Karolina Muchova position
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.26
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Kane" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
N
No position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
N
No position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
N
No position
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Alexander Zverev position
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
N
No position
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
N
No position
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Belgium?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
N
No position
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
N
No position
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
N
No position
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Over position
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?No 8.2% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?No 77.9% 9.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on July 13?Yes 94% 36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on July 13?Yes 93% 13.82 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.8% 100 shares
- Will Argentina win the World Cup?No 81.7% 99.99 shares
- Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 61% 50 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.4% 124 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 20.7% 89 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21.5% 82 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 38.9% 51.41 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21.6% 92.59 shares