Polymarket Trader

flawfence

0x23d81ba9371e576015c1e562db09c689f56b0288

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $339.22K
Realized PnL: $294.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $14.95K
Potential payout: $664.56K
Potential profit: $649.61K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $5.65K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $276.56K
Potential payout: $280.91K
Potential profit: $4.35K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $14.1K

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80K
Potential profit: $80K
User PnL: -$41K

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $268.6
Potential payout: $76.74K
Potential profit: $76.47K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$12.6K

Yes position

Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.59K
Potential profit: $57.59K
User PnL: -$872.51

Yes position

Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.59K
Potential profit: $57.59K
User PnL: -$872.51

Yes position

Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.59K
Potential profit: $57.59K
User PnL: -$872.51

Yes position

Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.59K
Potential profit: $57.59K
User PnL: -$872.51

Yes position

Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.59K
Potential profit: $57.59K
User PnL: -$872.51

Yes position

Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.59K
Potential profit: $57.59K
User PnL: -$872.51

Yes position

Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.59K
Potential profit: $57.59K
User PnL: -$872.51

Yes position

Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.59K
Potential profit: $57.59K
User PnL: -$872.51

Yes position

Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.59K
Potential profit: $57.59K
User PnL: -$872.51

Yes position

Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.59K
Potential profit: $57.59K
User PnL: -$872.51

Yes position

Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.59K
Potential profit: $57.59K
User PnL: -$872.51

Yes position

Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.59K
Potential profit: $57.59K
User PnL: -$872.51

No position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.16K
Potential profit: $40.16K
User PnL: -$19.95K

Curaçao position

Spread: Germany (-3.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $40K
User PnL: -$20K

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $40K
User PnL: -$15.2K

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $40K
User PnL: -$25.6K

No position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $24.6K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $15.4K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $12.6K

Over position

Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 57.1%
Current value: $22.84K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $17.16K
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $1.64K

Ecuador position

Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $40K
User PnL: -$6K

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.6K
Potential profit: $33.6K
User PnL: -$238.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.5K

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $42.34K

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.69K

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.84K

No position

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.26K

Yes position

Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.82K

No position

Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.37K

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.22K

Norway position

Spread: Norway (-1.5)

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18K

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.45K

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.17K

Yes position

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12K

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.68K

Yes position

Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55K

Yes position

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 15%
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $4.19K

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.97K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64K

No position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04K

No position

Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

Yes position

Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

No position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

Yes position

Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

Yes position

Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Saudi Arabia position

Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Austria (-1.5)

Jordan 56% 2,769.12 shares
Spread: Norway (-1.5)

Norway 99.9% 20,000 shares
Spread: Norway (-1.5)

Norway 59% 12,671.71 shares
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5

Over 39% 3,730.21 shares
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Under 50% 8,838.27 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

No 48% 0.15 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 663,347.31 shares
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

No 84.9% 896.2 shares
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

No 86.3% 839.69 shares
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Yes 51% 750.05 shares
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

No 64.7% 1,348.03 shares
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

No 68.5% 1,989.79 shares