Polymarket Trader

mianft

0x23df5ba11463d93dba237a2497a05bd78eec2495

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $36.36
Realized PnL: $16.92
Win rate: 90.9%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $2.27
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $153.98
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $44.52
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $23.08
Potential profit: $21.75
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will David Hoffman defeat Nic Carter?

Ends May 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Binance be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $10.82
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.9%
Current value: $2.81
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $8.96
Multiplier: 4.19x
User PnL: -$1.19

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.97
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.62
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.62

Yes position

LayerZero airdrop by April?

Ends Apr 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.89
Potential profit: $7.89
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $7.81
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.43
Potential payout: $7.43
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.43

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $7.32
Potential profit: $6.62
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $7.27
Potential profit: $3.27
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $6.45
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $5.71
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Trump say "Democrat" 15+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $2.99
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.91

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.84

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will David Hoffman say the word “fundamentals” in the first 5 minutes of the debate?

Ends Feb 29, 2024

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will Nick White say "modular" at least 10 times during the debate?

Ends Feb 29, 2024

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Pacifica launch a token by March 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will ETH hit $3,000 in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 60% 3.33 shares
Will Trump say "Democrat" 15+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?

Yes 67% 2.99 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Yes 31% 6.45 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Yes 26.9% 7.43 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

No 81% 2.47 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

No 84% 2.38 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 52% 9.62 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 15% 33.33 shares
Will Pacifica launch a token by March 31 2026?

No 99.5% 2.04 shares
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?

Yes 16% 12.5 shares
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?

Yes 23% 4.35 shares
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?

Yes 26% 3.85 shares