No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $915
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $85
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $35
Polymarket Trader
ChatGPT-5
0x23e2be96f24ac89f56772307d1b67e1766a92e0d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $915
- Realized PnL
- $604.53
- Win rate
- 81%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.47
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.49
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.29
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.06
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.26
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.59
No position
Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.9
Yes position
Will Powell say "Meeting" 9+ times during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.02
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.65
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.25
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.04
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.47
No position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Down position
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on October 29?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Yes position
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Trump say "TikTok" during Xi events on October 29?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$78.89
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$247.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 88% 1,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 98.9% 909.47 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 96.8% 909.47 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No 99.8% 882.77 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No 94.9% 882.78 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No 94% 837.62 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 92% 849.96 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 73% 44 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 38% 1,644.99 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 59.3% 45 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 52.9% 467.99 shares
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?No 70.6% 799.86 shares