Polymarket Trader

neutralmemori

0x23fbe9122e62c81bda6c4131a70093437011c52b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $70.68
Realized PnL: $26.39
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $328.91
Potential profit: $328.91
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206.56
Potential profit: $206.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $10.62
Potential payout: $142.51
Potential profit: $131.89
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: $8.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.15
Potential profit: $77.15
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Brazil vs. Haiti: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $7.56
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $10.8
Potential payout: $11.01
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.8

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.95
Potential payout: $10.95
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.82
Potential profit: $10.82
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $6.98
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $6.04
Potential payout: $7.32
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $7.03
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $5.68
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.34
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.34

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $3.64
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $1.92
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.66
Potential profit: $1.66
User PnL: -$1.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.33

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Will Solana reach $100 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 26?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?

Yes 4% 2.85 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 10% 6.66 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 142.51 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 1.9% 88.81 shares
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 155.58 shares
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 173.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 3.9% 77.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 305.23 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 305.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 1.6% 40.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 48.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 4.9% 40.82 shares