Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.9
- Potential profit
- $76.9
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Polymarket Trader
Dreaded
0x23fc1a25d03f187a71d3eeec7cd86d8fed3189f2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $63.99
- Realized PnL
- $168.63
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $52.67
- Potential payout
- $53.5
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $31.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $37.04
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.24
- Potential profit
- $31.24
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $7.38
- Potential payout
- $7.55
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $3.94
- Potential payout
- $6.3
- Potential profit
- $2.36
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.83
- Potential profit
- $5.83
- User PnL
- -$5.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kamala lead by 2-2.4 August 30?
Ends Aug 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.51
Yes position
Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.13
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.48
Yes position
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $5.71
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or below on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.24
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $2.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Kamala position
538 favorite when forecast is turned on?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 29?No 98% 2.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 29?No 97.8% 1.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 29?No 97.7% 6.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 29?No 98.9% 2.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 27?Yes 1.2% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or higher on June 27?Yes 0.6% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 27?No 99.6% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 27?No 99.7% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 27?No 99% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 27?Yes 28% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 27?Yes 4.6% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 27?Yes 17% 5 shares