Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $911.86
- Potential payout
- $3.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.47K
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$189.88
Polymarket Trader
NOPH
0x24124601c80a6a7b3f9dc0bd7f91aab9825ff534
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.25K
- Realized PnL
- $2.43K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $801
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $999
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $81
FaZe position
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- User PnL
- -$69.6
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $959.05
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $441.02
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $133.75
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $99
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $901
- Multiplier
- 10.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $19.44
- Potential payout
- $810
- Potential profit
- $790.56
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$11.34
Yes position
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $225
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $275
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $194.24
- Potential payout
- $349.98
- Potential profit
- $155.74
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$43.25
Liquid position
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $319.89
- Potential profit
- $319.89
- User PnL
- -$94.77
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $190
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$14
Vitality position
Rocket League: Karmine Corp vs Vitality (BO7) - RLCS Major Paris Playoffs
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.93
- Potential profit
- $99.93
- User PnL
- -$47.58
No position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $28.16
- Potential payout
- $32.55
- Potential profit
- $4.39
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $4.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $457.82
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.67
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.81
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.21
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.2
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175
No position
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.27
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.5
Yes position
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $63.65
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $57.3
Yes position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 66%
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $55
No position
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.09
No position
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.69
Yes position
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $28.74
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- $26.42
FaZe position
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.2
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.86
FaZe position
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.74
Yes position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $7.89
Yes position
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $7.71
Yes position
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $7.69
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $6.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 29% 483.19 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 80.8% 300 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 9.6% 846.04 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 54.7% 36.59 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 32.2% 46.52 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 78.8% 5.77 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 85.2% 400 shares
- Rocket League: Karmine Corp vs Vitality (BO7) - RLCS Major Paris PlayoffsVitality 67% 16.22 shares
- Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 15% 434.61 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 1% 900 shares
- Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 8% 609.21 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 1.5% 400 shares