No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $5.83K
- Potential payout
- $5.94K
- Potential profit
- $109.98
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $306.15
Polymarket Trader
MoD
0x242642fcc37e6f079219a545867921dd682ad3e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.28K
- Realized PnL
- $8.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $164.02
- Potential payout
- $4.49K
- Potential profit
- $4.33K
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$291.87
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.22K
- Potential profit
- $4.22K
- User PnL
- -$788.99
Yes position
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.2K
- Potential profit
- $4.2K
- User PnL
- -$2.1K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $2.83K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $165
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $645
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $118.65
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $217.35
No position
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$665.97
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $575
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $425
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$178
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $860.99
- Potential payout
- $860.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $568.82
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $32.77
- Potential payout
- $34.19
- Potential profit
- $1.42
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $740.53
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.42
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $474.34
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $444.67
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 60 million views on day 3?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $412.95
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $399.99
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.77
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 2?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.3
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.37
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 47 million views on day 2?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.19
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.73
No position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $214.84
Yes position
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.65
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.74
No position
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.96
No position
TikTok sale announced by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 4?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.56
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.74
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get 75 million or more views on day 4?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.08
Yes position
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 98.7% 1,519.5 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Yes 20.7% 554.63 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Yes 17.6% 173 shares
- Will MrBeast's latest video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 5?Yes 0.3% 4,758.1 shares
- Will MrBeast's latest video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 5?Yes 11% 1,542.48 shares
- Will MrBeast's latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5?No 14.8% 659.76 shares
- Will MrBeast's latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5?No 83% 344.92 shares
- Will MrBeast's latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5?No 86.2% 484.76 shares
- Will MrBeast's latest video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 5?Yes 84.8% 245.72 shares
- Will MrBeast's latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5?No 83.1% 26.91 shares
- Will MrBeast's latest video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 5?Yes 85.1% 500 shares
- Will MrBeast's latest video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 5?Yes 92.7% 484.61 shares